![]() Reid has consistently proven to beat expectations over the span of more than two decades. But the mistake most people make is treating Reid and Mahomes’ performances as outliers. Sure, history has taught us to expect regression from outlying performances. Passing efficiently is strongly correlated with winning, so we should expect this year's version of the Chiefs to keep his perfect over record with the club intact. ![]() And his starting quarterback, Patrick Mahomes, threw 50 touchdowns and posted the third-best yards per attempt (8.79) of any quarterback to make 15-plus starts since 2005 - and he did this all in career starts Nos. The over also went 9-4-1 during Reid's time in Philly. And the rest of their matchups against formidable opponents - Colts, Texans, Packers and Vikings - come at Arrowhead, where the Chiefs have gone 36-12 (.750) while allowing 17.1 points per game under Andy Reid. Their three toughest games are on the road at the Chargers, Patriots and Bears, all of which the Chiefs are capable of winning. It's tough to find more than three to four losses on the Chiefs' schedule. The offense should be better, too, with the addition of rookie weapons Mecole Hardman and Darwin Thompson. Don't Protect The Middle Against Julian Edelman in Overtime of the AFC Championship Game - plus the arrival of difference-makers Frank Clark and Tyrann Mathieu. The Chiefs went 12-4 last season and should be better on defense with coordinator Steve Spagnuolo replacing Bob Sutton - aka Mr. Go To: Win Totals | Super Bowl | Playoffs | Props | More NFL WIN TOTALS Chris Raybon: Chiefs Over 10.5 Wins (-125) 28, so as always, be sure to shop around for the best lines as odds can vary from book-to-book. Our staff reveals their 19 favorite futures, from the over on one of the highest win totals to a Super Bowl longshot to a surprise team missing the playoffs and more.
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